‰ «««««« «««««««««« «««««««««« «««««««««« »»»»»»»»»» »»»»»»»»»» »»»»»»»»»» »»»»»» ———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— …¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨…¨ "LAPTOP19_10"\laptop\sequeris\Ro.txt illinoiscovid.org updated Ro for 11 regions Northwestern University & University of Chicago University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign & Argonne National Laboratory founder Jaline Gerardin, Northwestern prof of preventive medicine https://www.bbc.com/news/health-55507012 Covid-19: New variant 'raises R number by up to 0.7' name="Ro" Plotting the number of cases is useful since a straight line indicated Ro is near 1.0. However, reporting the percentage of positive tests is much more informative then the number of positive tests, since the number of positive tests depends heavily on the number of tests taken. A constantly straight line increase of cases only indicates that there is a large populace of vulnerable people who have not contracted the disease. It only indicates that the health care facilities will not become even more overtaxed. https://www.bbc.com/news/health-52473523 Coronavirus: What is the R number and how is it calculated? By James Gallagher Health and science correspondent https://www.bbc.com/news/health-55105285 R number for UK below 1 for first time since August https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54808392 Coronavirus: Ireland's R number drops below one between 0.7 and 0.9 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54596783 Coronavirus: Republic of Ireland to move to highest restrictions Harsh measures with a Christmas carrot https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-54560075 https://www.gov.ie/en/campaigns/c36c85-covid-19-coronavirus/ 2020 April 23: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-cases/#active-cases shows an inflection point and concave down portion after April 1in spite of more tests. and https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america shows a leveling from April 7 to April 20 so things are somewhat stabelized, however we should not relax until Ro is well below zero and the number of active cases can be controlled with contact tracing. §§§ reproduction number Ro R Rt R: Is this the crucial number? https://www.bbc.com/news/health-52473523 https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/D1BD/production/ _112039635_social_distancing_infection_ratev3_640-nc.png https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/01/how-fast-and-far-will-new-coronavirus-spread/605632/ basic reproduction number—R0, pronounced R-naught Ed Yong January 28, 2020 https://www.bbc.com/news/av/health-52494495 Terry Saunders, Laura Foster and Tobias Chapple Coronavirus R0: What is the R number and why does it matter? https://www.bbc.com/news/av/health-52287761 Coronavirus: Should I wear a mask to stop the virus? Foundation for Innovative New Diagnostics «««««« «««««««««« «««««««««« «««««««««« »»»»»»»»»» »»»»»»»»»» »»»»»»»»»» »»»»»»